Methodology

Confidence, evidence, and product boundaries.

Hurd Stocks is being built as a decision-support tool. That means the product should help users understand what happened, what may be affected, how strong the signal looks, and what evidence supports the interpretation.

What data Hurd uses

Public market-relevant information such as articles, filings, transcripts, and related sources that can be ingested and normalized within policy boundaries.

How signals are generated

Stories are linked to affected assets, event structure is interpreted, and likely short-horizon significance is scored with supporting evidence retained alongside the output.

What confidence means

Confidence is meant to express how strongly the system supports a conclusion, not to imply certainty or guaranteed performance.

Known limitations

Financial narratives are noisy, incomplete, and context-sensitive. False positives, misses, and changing market regimes remain real risks.

Boundaries

Hurd Stocks is not positioned as personalized investment advice, automated execution, or a promise of return. It is designed to provide explainable market-intelligence support for users making their own judgments.

  • Signals are probabilistic and may be wrong.
  • Confidence is not certainty.
  • Evidence should remain inspectable.
  • Users should treat the product as a decision-support layer, not a replacement for judgment.